Archive for January, 2009

DC Transit considering service cuts due to costs and Ben Wear considers CapMetro capacity

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An article in the Washington Post regarding DC’s rising transit costs and likely service reduction is one of many examples where the unsustainable financial nature of transit is detrimental to all taxpayers and is degrading transit service for those who need transit and have no choice. DC at 4.3% is just behind NY (10.7%) and SF (4.8%) for urban area transit share of transportation passenger miles. NY alone has 43 % of the transit passenger miles in the US. Add Chicago, LA, Boston and Philadelphia to the previous three cities and you have more than 84% of the transit passenger miles in the US. This doesn’t leave much for the rest of us. Transit is not sustainable unless it is implemented in a cost-effective manner. The fundamental issue is the transit circle: the greater the ridership; the greater the loss and the deeper the financial hole; resulting in service cutbacks and higher fares and/or taxes; resulting in fewer riders.

The ultimate truth is that an urban area cannot afford to spend enough money to increase ridership enough to make any real mobility difference even if you assumed ridership would increase substantially with more money.  Ben Wear’s Jan 26 column in the Statesman is evidence of how aptly this applies to Austin.   Wear notes that CapMetro’s Red Line commuter rail, which opens Mar 30, will carry only 1,400 people for its entire capacity of seven morning runs, with the last car arriving downtown around 10 a.m.   Doubling capacity to 2,800 people per day by purchasing six more cars would be an additional $35 million - plus borrowing costs - and would take over two years to put into service.

2030 Committee publishes transportation needs report for public comment

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The 2030 Committee posted its draft Texas Transportation Needs Report on the Committee’s website for public comment through the end of January.   The report provides a comprehensive analysis of estimated transportation needs, anticipated costs in 2008 dollars and resulting benefits from safeguarding the investment in existing highway transportation facilities (maintenance of pavements and bridges), urban mobility and rural mobility and safety.   An Executive Summary is also available.

 

The Committee estimates that $313 billion is needed between 2009 and 2030 for urban and rural road construction, maintenance and bridge work, which breaks down at $14.2 billion per year.     The report estimates that $171 billion, or $7.8 billion a year, is needed to expand urban roadways to keep traffic congestion from getting worse.   Less the current estimated funding trend of $70 billion, that alone leaves a gap of $101 billion. 

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The 2030 Committee’s Recommendations:

  • Support Texas’ economic strength and quality of life by preventing worsening congestion; as an absolute minimum, do not allow Texas’ urban mobility to decline below the average of peer cities.
  • Broaden the ability of urban regions to raise revenue to increase mobility if locally desired without reducing state funding for mobility.
  • Investment needed: “Prevent Worsening Congestion” $171 billion total; $7.6 billion per year.

The Committee presented a draft executive summary of the report to the Texas Transportation Commission in December.

 

Money shortage for roads just keeps growing

Huge bill is seen coming down the road